My activity in AP so far has very much been limited to doing risk-free casino offers and bookmaker SUBs. I'm now hoping to educate myself, and start doing more advanced matched betting, and also get involved with other casino stuff too.
Am I right in saying that, the vast majority of casino SUBs are in fact -ev? I just looked at a few different casinos (Bet365, Ladbrokes etc) and assuming house edge is 5%, they seem to be calculated so that you should (probability-wise) lose the full deposit and bonus by the time you complete the WR.
Despite that, looking at the "£400 a month thread", a lot of you guys do seem to be doing casino subs!
Have I got my calculations wrong, or is it just that people do the SUBs hoping they get lucky, and this isn't in advantage play?