Bet365 4/1 offer - EV & why "4/1" is not arbitrary

[Landprofits]

The author of this thread is a self-important dilettante.

Ha ha ha you actually read this ;

"How to disagree" by Paul Graham

........ oh wait I did aswell

[Eddie]

I think Dash is spot on really. No offer, sports or casino can really be given a pure specific EV rating, because the value of an offer is determined by way the way it's done. Think of all those casino offers that are EV to the high rollers who can try and quad up the deposit+bonus in order to make the offer EV, whereas the average mug punter casino player would never have a hope of extracting any long term value out of the same bonus. Oh, I think I'm stating the obvious now, this thread must have effected my brain.

[HMex]

I think Dash is spot on really. No offer, sports or casino can really be given a pure specific EV rating, because the value of an offer is determined by way the way it's done. Think of all those casino offers that are EV to the high rollers who can try and quad up the deposit+bonus in order to make the offer EV, whereas the average mug punter casino player would never have a hope of extracting any long term value out of the same bonus. Oh, I think I'm stating the obvious now, this thread must have effected my brain.

I wasn't trying to refute that 4/1 is worth X to APer A or Y to APer B, I was just trying to show exactly how Bet365 manage to maintain profitability assuming they take a given margin and why the qualifying price threshold is 4/1.

People who think this is isn't "useful" to AP are missing the point - it wasn't supposed to be.