Results on the day = +£202
Results to date = +£239.50
Well it was an interesting day with lots to think about, it began with Everton who kicked off earlier than the others, took the lead and Portsmouth never replied, despite trying hard. It ended with me £19 down and thinking this is a stupid game to play.
Then 3 O Clock came and the other games kicked off, early goals from Villa and Bolton saw me lay those too and start to think this is Everton all over again but I stuck to the strategy.
The first point of note is Liverpool scored too and I layed them at 1.05 thinking well this is stupid BUT Hull pulled one back. Despite this massive shock factor, when I backed Liverpool back for £40 they were still only back out to 1.15, meaning I made just £3.50 on them! Despit the odds shifting so massively. Maybe the system should lay to risk an amount not just a fixed £50 win on the others?
Second point is the opposite side of the coin, Wigan went 1-0 ahead to Chelsea and the odds only dropped to 4 or 5. I bottled out of laying it at that point, the idea is that you liability is always low and that was risking £200 on a team who are now winning and at home! Instead I backed £40 on Chelsea in a variation of the theme, intending to lay £50 once Chelsea equalised. Chelsea did equalise and So I backed and got my £10 profit BUT Wigan went on to win it! IF I had have layed the £50 at 4s they went out to 12s at 1-1 so I would have had about £140 profit on a Wigan win by the real strategy. And they did win it!
I would have been very cross about the above if it hadnt been for the last 5 minutes in the Bolton Game, Birmingham came back to make it 1-1 and so I backed back the £40 worth to lock in £10 or now £200+ on Bolton, two minutes later Bolton scored to retake the lead. So Happy Days.
Overall conclusions, im not sure, stick to the original strategy at all costs might be it. It has not hurt yet, maybe tweeking it will cause as much harm as good. Results to date are OK though, I am now in a position to say I will keep on going with it until it BUSTS out now, each time it gets to (if it gets to) +£300 im going to take out £100 profits banked. If it ever drops to £0 then I will stop playing it obviously doesnt work.