Unfortunately I have come across this site at a bad time, and by "bad time" I mean in the fact that the european football seasons have just ended.
There is still abit of football going on whilst the european leagues are on holiday and they are the scandinavian leagues such as the Norwegian, Swedish, Finnish & Danish etc ec..
There is also plenty of South American football but I tend to stay away from that as it can be very erratic
Now I would like to use the next 6-8 weeks to help other users out and give a little insight into how I go about making my money on Betfair. I am hoping to share a few strategies and also give people some advice on what to get stuck into and what to avoid and hopefully in 6-8 weeks I will have shared enough knowledge that we can get stuck into the new european football season.
Now I am not going to make out I am some sort of expert when it comes to the scandinavian leagues (Because I am not) The English Premiership, La Liga & Serie A are what I know best and I know them well, but in the close season I do like to keep ticking over and look to make abit of pocket money on the side.
I keep stakes alot lower than I normally do during the european seasons and any profits are a bonus really used to enjoy the summer
Later on I will post a few things I think alot of people "do wrong" when they log into the betfair site and i will share my knowledge on a few strategies that have served me well but right now I just want to point out a few opportunites in todays football where I think there could be some money made.
Finland Veikkausliga- MyPa v VPS Vaasa 4.30pm
LAY OVER 1.5 GOALS @ 1.40 FOR £150 (£60.00 Liability)
Alot of people if they looked into the stats for this bet would see that 4 of MyPa 5 home games have ended over 1.5 goals and 4 of VPS Vaasa 5 away games have ended over 1.5 goals making 8 out the 10 games over 1.5 goals (80%)
What alot of people would do here is just stop looking at the stats, see that it has happened 8 times out 10 so far this season and just pile in with their money thinking they are onto a "sure thing".
What most people will fail to realise is that these 2 teams are both really struggling to score goals themselves. MyPa have failed to score in 4 of their 5 home games and VPS Vaasa have only scored 2 away goals in 5 games, failing to score in 3. So if you now look at how many times these teams have scored in the 10 games you will see that in the 10 games they have only scored in 3 which means that 70% of the time so far this season these 2 teams are failing to score a goal.
I really really hate BACKING these kind of bets and IMHO offer absolutely NO VALUE at all. If you are BACKING this market then every single minute that passes without a goal those odds are going to drift and drift and get higher and higher and that price you backed at pre KO justs starts to look worse and worse and worse.
When it comes to the low prices I am much more of a LAYER than a BACKER. The thing with laying low prices is if the bet does'nt go you're way then you're losses are always small and minimal as you laid at a low price and if it does go you're way then you're winnings are always far greater to you're liabilty, plus there is always the option the "trading out" and locking in you're profit.
I am starting to go off course here so I am going to stop and say I will go into detail my thinking about what you should be backing/laying later on and just now get to todays bets i think have a chance of making some ££££'s
Can I just point out here to those who dont have a betfair (trading) account and just use normal bookmakers then a bet for this game would be "Neither team not to score" @ 5/6 with most firms. Like I pointed out earlier, both teams are struggling for goals and in MyPa's 5 home games NONE of them have seen both teams score a goal and only 2 of VPS's 5 away games have seen both teams score so 8 out of the 10 games "neither team has scored"