Tod1999's Trading Diary Bets

[tod1999]

yes m8 you can make good money trading darts (and tennis) as the odds shoot around like crazy 1 leg to another

you do need to wach it live though which is why i stopped trading as i stopped watching it once the atletico game started


depending on what your looking to achieve you can make £10-£20 no problems laying overs pre k.o then backing back again after 10 mins or so

aletico/sevilla was 2.01 k.o to lay and after 10 mins overs was overs was 2.22 which results in a around £19 profit for a £200 pre k.o lay

wait another 5 mins and you can get more with overs 2.48 on the 15 mark which is around £38 profit for just 15 mins


using £200 lay stakes you can make +£1000 no problems just using the over/under 2.5 goals markets taking £20-£40 a time

[LFC81Eoin]

My problem is out of every 10 trades i do i might win 8 that wins me about 300 ish but then lose 2 that costs me 300 . I gotta get out when its not going well instead of waiting around for it to come back , gotta learn to take the losses and get out .

[tod1999]

Thats the mental side very few people can deal with...

when things are not going your way you let it ride and just hope things turn in your favour because you just cant handle accepting you got things wrong and take the loss

i would be so much better off if i could admit defeat like when liverpool got it back to 1-1 and were 1.67 i should have laid and just took the £63 loss and saved myself £237

reading were by far the better team in the 1st half and liverpool werent playing too great, to keep £300 at risk was just idiotic!


its a good idea to have knowledge on what the markets will do at any given moment, like i know on the overs/unders markets people over react too soon and still 0-0 after 15 mins can see 20-30 ticks price change which is a good bit of profit for 15 mins

people seem to think there has to be an early goal for overs, everyone knows football has more goals in the 2nd half as teams open up more

man utd have had 13 overs in 20 league matches and 9 of those 13 overs were 0-0 after 15 mins. In theory actually backing overs bets pre k.o is poor betting IMO as waiting 10-15 mins you can get far better odds, with scores at 0-0.

If you back after 15 mins still at 0-0 and it loses then it makes no differences to your losses as the bet was a loser whether you placed it at k.o or after 15 mins

if its a winner you will make far more profit by waiting 10-15 mins

man utd/hull midweek was 1.78 for overs at k.o 20 mins into that game it was aound 2.37 with scores at 0-0 the game ended 3-1 to man utd


h'field/west brom today was a lowly 1.69 for overs at k.o......20 mins inplay still 0-0 was out to 2.10

Obviously the odds are higher as you have less time to get your 3 goals but very few matches have goals inside the 1st 10-15 mins and the majority of games have most goals in 2nd half

west brom/qpr 0-0 ht overs was 4.40 and it ended 2-2 overs pre k.o was around 1.80


Do abit of homework and find the teams who score the majority of their goals in the 2nd half (like man utd) and you can make a good bit of money laying overs then backing back after 20-25 mins

[LFC81Eoin]

Yeah feel the exact same at half time i looked at the price myself , i wasn't near the laptop cause i was having dinner with the missus but checked at half time and taught liverpool would come out and score , didn't think they could play any worse but they were shocking , i think gerrard wanted to play further up and didnt look up for it at all.

Anyway thats a good new years resolution , you gotta no when to walk away .

[tod1999]

early start on tomorrows bets....

laid arsenal @ 1.72 for £200

Expecting alot of arsenal changes for this game once the teams are announced i think arsenal will drift to around 5/6

arsenals best 11 couldnt beat west ham in the league earlier in the season so iam happy to lay them pre k.o at a pricel ower than i think they should be and then see how things lie after 20-25 mins, ideally west ham will score 1st for a nice profit, but if its still goalless after half an hr arsenal will be odds against and be able to lock in some profit

looking towards laying celtic aswell, rangers flying ATM and i just cant see them losing, i actually think rangers will win. ill see what the team news is like before sticking any money down


Also if man utd put out the team i expect them too put out they will also be getting laid, not been impressed at all with man utds reserve team this season and are very mediocre and leeds are a good team and will be up for this game

again waiting on final starting 11s here before doing anything

man utds starting 11 against wigan would just be buying money at 1.25 but if its the team i expect then they should be around 4/6 and knowhere near 1/4

[tod1999]

Just to give you an idea of my plans today....

I am planiing on alot of low risk high profability trades today trying to claw some back of yesterdays disaster

by low risk high profability i mean laying very low odds for a big profit

for example laying the halftime draw with games that are a draw with 40-41 mins on the clock around 1.20, games that have 2 goals laying unders around 89-90 mins at around 1.10-1.15 looking for injury time goals

if games have 3 goals going into 89-90 mins then laying under 3.5 goals around the same price, if games are level heading into the 90 min mark laying the draw looking for a winner in injury time

these kind of lays pay 4/1-6/1 and there is always a fair few late goals across the games

i will post as i do them

first one ill be looking to do is in the celtic/rangers match, if this is level at 40-41 mins ill look to see the lay price of halftime draw

[tod1999]

laid man utd @ 1.26 for £100

obviously watching the game and will look to back back at 1.50+

if man utd score 1st ill trade out and take the loss

[tod1999]

celtic/rangers laid halftime draw @ 1.19 for £100

42 mins played

[tod1999]

grrrrr

30 seconds after laying halftime draw samaras shoots 2 inches wide of the post celtic then had 2 great chances to score and fluffed them both

-£19

[tod1999]

leeds take the lead at old trafford, should really just let this ride as its a woeful man utd team

backed man utd @ 1.88 foir £67 which is £31.45 profit across the board