Tod1999's Trading Diary Bets

[tod1999]

Here is where i stick all my bets that i intend to trade for my trading diary, with inplay bets the odds can change very quickly so ill post here the bet before the off and then ill post as soon as i trade out

end of the night ill post up the days events in a diary in the other thread....

1st bet: forest/birmingham lay over 2.5 goals @ 2.48 (£200)

the intention here is to lay overs in a game i think will be tight. still goalless after 15 mins trade out for a profit. If there is a goal before i trade out i will still let it ride as i think this game will end unders and an early game doesnt mean my plans are scuppered, birmingham scored after 3 mins vs wolves a couple of weeks ago and it ended 1-0, if there is 2 goals in the first half then i will cut my losses and trade out.

i know cup football is totally different to league football bu these 2 sides should still set up tactically the way they do in league games, trying to keep things very tight a the back.

in forests 12 home league games the avge time of 1st goal scored is 40.25 minutes and 10 of their 12 home matches have been goalless after 15 minutes

in birminghams 10 away games time of 1st goal avge is 35.40 minutes and 7 of theri 10 games have been goalless after 15 minutes

[tod1999]

just traded out

backed overs @ 3.00 for £155......... 15 mins 30 seconds played

[tod1999]

unders = +£42.75
overs = +£13.70

after comm

kept a bigger profit on unders as i think it will end unders

[tod1999]

bolton not having it there own way so far with lincoln making a good game of it

0-0 halftime, laid bolton @ 1.50 for £50, looking to back back at 1.70 for around £6


bolton 2-0 backed bolton @ 1.05 for -£22.50




that went well on the first day doing a diary i go and do the only thing you should NEVER do when trading!!

NEVER EVER EVER should a team playing at home against lower league opposistion that is a draw at halftime be laid at halftime!!

one of the worst idiotic things you can ever do! fans on their back, manager going to get stuck right into the players the only thing that is going to happen is the home side will come out firing looking for the early goal

thats the idiotic stuff out the way on the first day

[tod1999]

£300 on liverpool @ 1.46

could just leave this until 90 mins as its just buying money but ill trade out once liverpool go 2-0 up before halftime


£100 on over 2.5 goals @ 1.85

edit: will actually trade out at 1-0, or 2-1 should reading do a shocker and score 1st

[tod1999]

traded out of overs bet

reading 1-0 liverfool

overs = +£35.86
unders = +£4.25


kept the bigger profit on overs i think it will be overs, can see another goal in 1st half

[tod1999]

2nd mistake of the day, was pretty confident there would be another goal in the 1st half which would put overs @ around 1.20

i laid @ 1.46 at 1-0 when in reality i should have waited to see if the 2nd goal i expected did come.

could have traded out at 1.17 at 1-1 for £63.75 profit, so did myself out of £27.89 if this game has another goal

[tod1999]

whitlock vs barney

sets 1-1 laid whitlock @ 1.89 £50

[tod1999]

backed him back 1-0 down in 3rd set @ 2.52 for £30

[tod1999]

barney win = +£19.00
whitlock win = +£1.05