tod1999 2009 betting thread......

[tod1999]

sorry not been on here in awhile but i have been busy elsewhere...

hopefuly i will be able to have a continuios running thread of my bets from now until the end of the season..........

mondays bets......

mk dons/colchester over 2.5 goals @ 1.80 (3pts)

mk dons/colchester over 3.5 goals @ 3.10 (1pt)

4pts total

mk dons have played 12 home league games so far with 33 goals in those 12 games which is a match average of 2.75 goals per game.......8 of the 12 (66.66%) have ended over 2.5 goals

colchester have played 11 away league games so far with 47 goals scored in those 11 matches which is a huge match average of 4.27 goals per game......10 of the 11 (90.90%) ended over 2.5 goals

between mk dons 12 home games and colchesters 11 away games... 5 have been under 2.5 goals (21.73%) and a massive 18 from 23 have been over 2.5 goals (78.27%)

8 of the 18 (44.44%) have been over 3.5 goals

[tod1999]

man utd to win 1-0 or 2-0 @ 3.50 (1pt)

newcastle to beat hull @ 2.10 (5pts)

newcastle win with 3 or more goals @ 3.25 (1pt)

newcastle/hull over 3.5 goals @ 3.40 (1pt)

owen 1st scorer @ 4.50 (1pt)

duff anytime scorer @ 4.00 (1pt)


as long as newcastle win will pay for the 5 other bets.....

10pts total

[Hutch]

Unlucky with the hull stuff, I thought it would be a goalfest

Good work with the Man Utd CS tho...

[tod1999]

absolue garbage mate.......

really really annoyed with myself right now.....man utd to win 1-0 or 2-0 @ 5/2 was my only bet of the day and i was watching skysports news and the team news came up for newcastle and hull

hull made 8 changes and were playing load of reserve players ive never heard of........newcastle were full strenght bar 1 player and odds against seemed great value.....

i havent backed newcastle in about 18 months as they are not a team to be backed as they are utter garbage, if anything i lay them if the price is right

for some reason i had 5 minutes of madness and ended up staking 9pts on newcastle game and of course LOST 9ps on the newcastle game


review of results.......

mk dons vs colchester ended 1-1 (4pt loss) just one of those games the ball didnt want to go in the net....i was watching this game and it should have been 2-2 by half time

9pt loss on tonights newcastle game......

man utd beat wigan 1-0 for 2.5pts profit


total loss for the thread 10.5pts

this weekend will be used to try and recoup those losses

[Andy]

this weekend will be used to try and recoup those losses

You dont need to win it back this weekend though, i know we bet very differently but i think its fair to say everyone would agree "Dont Tilt". If there are no value bets this weekend, dont bet at all, thats the key i think.

The bookmakers have to put up odds for every match, you only need to bet on the ones they have made an error in the true value. If there are 15 of them one weekend do 15 bets, if 5 the next do 5, dont do 10 bets a week every week just for the hell of it. (I know you dont bet 10 bets a week for the hell of it but you get the idea)

[tod1999]

hartlepool vs northampton.......

over 2.5 goals @ 1.95 (3pts)

both teams to score @ 1.80 (3pts)


6pts total

[Andy]

Ouch!

[tod1999]

bolton/man utd under 2.5 goals @ 1.75 (3pts)

s wed/charlton under 2.5 goals @ 1.75 (3pts)

carlisle/mk dons over 2.5 goals @ 1.90 (3pts)

crewe/scunny over 2.5 goals @ 1.80 (3pts)

barnet/dagenham over 2.5 goals @ 1.80 (3pts)

wba.mboro 2-3 goals @ 1.90 (3pts)

preston/burnley 2-3 goals @ 1.90 (3pts)

h'field/swindon 2-3 goals @ 1.90 (3pts)

wba/mboro draw @ h/t @ 2.10 (3pts)

s wed/charlton 0-1 goals @ 3.30 (1pt)

bolton win or draw with 2 or less goals in match @ 3.20 (1pt)

h'fied beat swindon @ 1.72 (5pts)

dagenham beat barnet @ 2.05 (3pts)


37pts total

[Hutch]

Just a few bets today then! best of luck

[munk]

Blimey, wish I'd been that productive today... most productive I've been today is courtesy of smoking too much... (ew).

Best of luck mate hope they all come out for ya