You could lay back just your stake now and have a bet to nothing. I would. But I am really really wanting Woods to make the cut so I am biased.
Looks like Woods isn't going to make it.
Yeah mukka I will wait a while then lay back the stake for the free bet to nothing, Goosen's still dropping. Only had 5 on him but it's better than nothing and keeps me interested in a sport that bores me to death usually.
Gay & Ogilvy are goners. Goosen has as good a chance as anyone & is down to 9.6 so I've layed him to recover some (but not all) of my initial bets.
I bet Woods @ 7.0 this morning & then laid for the same amount when he was 4.8 (not intending to close the position - it was just that I saw him drive into the rough & his odds didn't change so I quickly laid him & sure enuff he bogeyed). I would definitely have backed him at fancy odds when he was on the 16th/17th but handily I was at the gym so wasn't around to do so. So I didn't end up winning or losing on my Woods bets after all that. Astonishingly he now looks a cert to miss the cut, big surprise.
Watson is trading at 36 to lay which is about as good a lay as I reckon you'll ever see. I really cannot give him the tiniest chance of winning. Also rate Ross Fisher a good lay @ 12.5.
I've nibbled Kaymer (who is on a tournament hat-trick & almost certainly the most in-form player on the planet right now) @ 40. He still looks big @ 28 & I'm tempted to go in for a bit more. I've also just put £2 on Hed @ 860 (!). I've never heard of him but he's only 6 off the lead at +1 so I reckon those odds are too big. I'm prepared to suffer the loss of £2 to find out
So Goosen is a big winner for me & Kaymer an OK one (& Hed would be a 2-week holiday somewhere lol). Anything else is a small losing book right now.
Final thought - no financial interest in him but would be more than happy to see Lee Westwood win. Always seemed like a great bloke.
Aye, well this is just mugging to be fair.
There won't be longterm profit in it unless you can beat the bookmakers' margin or betfair commission by means of inside/ specialist knowledge, just like ordinary betting.