Tod1999's Sports Bets

[tod1999]

Going to place all my bets here and keep a running diary. All bets are £100 singles or £100 doubles and all bets will be 1/2 or higher. I have set myself a target and am looking for 75% strikerate over every 100 bets.

Every 100 bets @ £100 a time is obviously £10,000 and if I can hit 75% strikerate the minimum return over 100 bets will be £11,250 (+£1250) which is a ROI of 12.5% which i am happy with every 100 bets. If I can hit 75% strikerate over 100 bets it will be more than £1250 profit as majority of the bets will be higher than 1/2


4 for today...........

Mogren vs FC Copenhagen: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.61 (7.30pm K.O)

Thailand vs Liverpool: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.57 (2.00pm K.O)

Den Haag vs Valencia: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.66 (5.30pm K.O)

Flamengo vs Gremio Barueri: Gremio +0.5 goals @ 1.95 (11.30pm K.O)

[tod1999]

Mongren vs Copenhagen: Over 2.5 goals WINNER (0-6) returning £161 (+£61.00)

Den Haag vs Valencia: Over 2.5 goals WINNER (1-4) returning £166 (+£66.00)

Thailand vs Liverpool: Over 2.5 goals LOSER (1-1) returning £0.00 (-£100)

Other bet doesnt K.O until 11.30pm

Total Bets: 3

Winning Bets: 2

Strikerate: 66.33%

Profit/Loss: +£27.00

[wobbler]

Nice one mate, surprised the Liverpool game didn't have more goals.

[tod1999]

Nice one mate, surprised the Liverpool game didn't have more goals.

Here Here. it was 1-0 after 6 mins and i thought that would be it....GOALFEST liverpool missed hatful of chances though. could have easily been 3 or 4-1


Flamengo vs Gremio Barueri: Gremio +0.5 goals WINNER (1-1) returning £195 (+£95.00)


Total Bets: 4

Winning Bets: 3

Strikerate: 75%

Profit/Loss: +£122

[tod1999]

Europa League

Gandazar Kapan vs NAC Breda: NAC h/t NAC ft @ 1.91 (4.30 K.O) bet365

Vllaznia vs Rapid Vienna: Rapid Vienna win @ 1.67 (7.00 K.O) skybet

Rosenborg and NAC win double @ 1.81 (4.00 and 4.30 K.O) ladbrokes

[tod1999]

Gandazar Kapan vs NAC Breda: NAC ht NAC ft WINNER (0-2 ht 0-2 ft) returning £191 (+£91)

Vllaznia vs Rapid Vienna: Rapid Vienna win WINNER (0-3) returning £167 (+£67)

Rosenborg and NAC win double LOSER (1-0 and 0-2) returning £0.00 (-£100) stupid bet

Total Bets: 7

Winning Bets: 5

Strikerate: 71.42%

Profit/Loss: +£180

ROI: +25.71%

[tod1999]

Ajax vs A Madrid: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.83 (8.15 k.o)

Tottenham vs Barcelona: Over 10 corners @ 2.25 (8.00 k.o)

Tottenham vs Barcelona: Over 1.5 goals 1st half @ 2.50 (8.00 k.o)

2.30 Thirsk: Marie de medici @ 1.83

3.50 Ascot: Strawberrydaqari @ 1.61

7.10 Newmarket: colonel mak @ 1.72

(all horses are with bet365 who guarentee best odds)



I was asked why my target was 75% and how I came up with it, like why is it 75% and not 80% or 70%.

Well above i stated that i have 75% s/rate target with a ROI of 12.5% over 100 bets, well this is just a fraction of my overall longterm target.

My overall longterm target is £5000 profit from 400 bets which is also my target for every 8 week period (56 days).

Now as I have said my lowest price I will take is odds of 1/2 so for me to hit my cash target of £5000 every 400 bets i need 75% strikerate to hit my target, Now of course i will not need 75% srikerate if odds are higher than 1/2, i could have a 57% strikerate if every bet was even money. The reason Iaim for 75% s/rate is because i know i will 100% hit my target of £5000 over 400 bets if i hit 75%. Right now I have strikerate of 71.42% but I have a ROI of +25.71% which is alot higher than the 12.5% needed to make my 5k. The reason i am ahead of my cash target is because my odds have been higher than 1/2. If every bet had been odds of 1/2 then i would be behind right now. Like I said the only reason it is 75% is because 75% will definately see my hit my target every 100-400 bets.

my cash targets are £5000 profit every 56 days (8 weeks) which is of course £2500 every 28 days (4 weeks)

Splittling the year into 28 day segments gives me 13 segments (13 x 28 = 364 days) now if i hit my target, £2500 x 13 = £32.500 per year tax free and I am more than happy if I can achieve this.

400 bets over a 56 day period works out of an average of 7.14 bets per day.

Right now whilst there isnt much happening im only on 2, 3 maybe 4 bets a day but once english and european leagues kicksoff I can have 40-50 bets just on sat and sun alone and 400 bets over 56 day period is more than achievable for me

Hope all this makes sense

[tod1999]

Ajax vs A Madrid: Over 2.5 goals WINNER (3-3) returning £183 (+£83.00)

Tottenham vs Barcelona: Over 10 corners WINNER (12) returning £225 (+£125)

Tottenham vs Barcelona: Over 1.5 goals 1st half LOSER (1 goal) returning £0.00 (-£100)

2.30 Thirsk: Marie de medici NONRUNNER returning £100

3.50 Ascot: Strawberrydaqari WINNER @ 1.66 returning £166 (+£66)

7.10 Newmarket: colonel mak LOSER returning £0.00 (-£100)


Total Bets: 12

Winning Bets: 8

Strikerate: 66.67%

Profit/Loss: +£254

ROI: +21.16%

[tod1999]

Scottish Challenge Cup

Airdrie vs Partick: Partick win @ 2.20 (3.00 k.o)

E Fife vs Forfar: E Fife win @ 1.90 (3.00 k.o)

Swedish Allsvenskan

Brommapojkarna vs Kalmar: Kalmar win @ 2.00 (3.00 k.o)

Friendlies

Ipswich vs Colchester: Ipswich win @ 1.57 (2.00 k.o)

L Orient vs Newcastle: Newcastle win @ 1.57 (3.00 k.o)

[tod1999]

Airdrie vs Partick: Partick win WINNER (0-1) returning £220 (+£120)

E Fife vs Forfar: E Fife win LOSER (0-2) returning £0.00 (-£100)

Brommapojkarna vs Kalmar: Kalmar win WINNER (1-2) returning £200 (+£100)

Ipswich vs Colchester: Ipswich win WINNER (2-0) returning £157 (+£57)

L Orient vs Newcastle: Newcastle win LOSER (hammered 6-1) returning £0.00 (-£100)


Total Bets: 17

Winning Bets: 11

Strikerate: 64.70%

Profit/Loss: +£331

ROI: +19.47%


few more bets for this evening.........

SV Reid vs Salzburg: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.88 (6.30 k.o)

Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.80 (7.00 k.o)

Bordeaux vs Guingamp: Bordeaux win @ 1.57 (8.00 k.o)