Denman in the Hennessy (in 5 minutes!):
Contender for best chaser of recent years (almost certainly not at best in last years Gold Cup). Great record at Newbury.
However when he won this two years ago it was feted as one of the best weight-carrying performances EVER (before the race many gave him no chance of carrying top-weight to victory).
This time around, he's much higher STILL in the handicap. And wheras 2 years ago he was possibly at his peak, this time round he comes into the race off the back of heart trouble, a tough & not successful season last year, & a fall last time out.
In those circs I just can't see him producing a performance far in excess of what he produced two years ago. I don't think he wins this. A definite lay for me.
(Love the horse though & would just love to be wrong here......)