Bolton vs Fulham: Lay Fulham @ 3.85 (L2L 5pts)
At first glance when you look at boltons form you see they have lost 3 of the last 4 games, once you look at those results you will see it was arsenal x2 and liverpool and 2 of those defeats were away from home. If you take out those 3 losses to top opposistion then its just 1 defeat in 7
Bolton have lost 5 of their 12 home games, but when you look at 3 of those defeats were against chelsea, arsenal and liverpool then you can understand it as there is no shame in losing to these 2 teams.
Fulham are just rancid away from home and have been in awful form of late, they did scrape a 1-0 home win over pompy midweek which put an end to 5 straight defeats but were hardly convincing and extremly lucky the goal stood. They have only won 1 away game all season and that was on the opening day away to pompy and that win was also lucky with the goal coming from a massive deflection after the ball was going about 15 yrds wide. Fulham did beat bolton at the reebok 3-1 last season but this year fulham are not the same team and are really struggling with injuries, A Johnson has just been ruled out for the season and the 3 goalscorers for fulham last season in this match will not be lineing up for fulham today.
L Orient vs Brighton: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.02 (2pts)
10 of orients 14 home games have ended over 2.5 goals this season including 7 of the last 8 with an avge of 2.92 goals p/g. Brightons 14 away games have resulted in 8 overs including 6 of the last 9 with a higher avge of 3.28 gaols p/g. History of goals between the 2 sides also with brightons last 3 away trips to orient resulting in 2-1, 2-2 and 1-4 scorelines for an avge of 4 goals p/g. I Would price up overs in this game around 4/5 so there is definaely some value in the bet. If you had 2pts at evens on all of orients home games and all of brightons away games this season you would be 16pts in profit.