Bayern are being massively ramped this season and should be nowhere near odds on away against a good side from an elite league with a very solid long term home record.
Evens is a fair price, IMO. Bayern are the in-form team in Europe at the moment. P14 W12 D1 L1 GF 35 GA 1.
They were 2.2 away to Villarreal with a stronger CL home record than Napoli and UEFA coefficients say Napoli are the weakest team in the group.
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Napoli are defiantly a stronger team than Villarreal. Villarreal have sold their best players in the last few windows and have been poor this season and the end of last and are now living off past glories. Napoli on the other hand have had a decent start to the season, they are in the top six, and had very good results so far in the CL. They spent 30 million net in the summer and are a team on the rise.
Bayern were reasonably priced against Villarreal, maybe even slight value, so imo there price against Napoli should be at least the same. Bayern have steamed in though so could be wrong. Trabzonspor have come in nicely though and would still back them at the current price.
Napoli v Bayern wasn't a great game but Bayern should have won given all the chances they had even though Napoli were denied a penalty. For all the talk about Napoli's "Holy Trinity" they managed a total of 2 shots on goal and none on target. Bayern had 15/5, missed a pen but were quite poor nonetheless.
I think the Olympiakos bet has a good chance of winning. Dortmund not playing well at the moment.
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