Good to hear from ya and hope to god you are right!
I am on Tiger zero knowledge as I say but just a hunch he was overpriced at 13 on Thurs.
I prefer to be a backer rather than a layer in golf as if I started laying to a big extent I would never be able to stop! Golf is hugely addictive for gambling on I think.
KJ Choi is an interesting player. I laid him at the Open a couple of years ago at a big price only for him to hit a hot streak and even lead it at one stage. It was very sweaty and I nearly lost a really big amount. Actually he is a player that struggles with the pressure and is nicknamed KJ Choke. He looks nerveless but his driving goes to pot under the most intense pressure. Might be worth researching if he gets very low.
The Radio 5 Live expert Jay is very good IMO. Last night they were saying McIlroy could try and par it today as the pin positions will be much harder. So the safety first approach may not be wrong in that there may be more benefit in stopping others gaining on him as opposed to stretching the lead. You could argue it shows maturity too.
Jay also said that in his opinion Tiger is not back and the swing problems are still there. He was pretty wayward yesterday off the tee and eventually that will punish you. OTOH McIlroy may find putting more of a challenge on the harder greens.
Hopefully for both of us Tiger will come out roaring but it sounds like this may not be too likely realistically.
I have a small stake on Lefty as he won it for me last year. I remember he fired one low through a clump of trees and got it six feet from the hole. Magical.