Tournament Year Stage Team 1 Team 2 Score Score Bet Running Return
Asian 2011 Final Australia Japan 0 0
ACON 2012 QF Zambia Sudan 3 0 1 1
ACON 2012 QF I Coast E Guinea 3 0 2 3
ACON 2012 QF Gabon Mali 1 1 4 7 12
ACON 2012 QF Ghana Tunisia 1 1 1 1 3
ACON 2012 SF Zambia Ghana 1 0 1 1
ACON 2012 SF I Coast Mali 1 0 2 3
ACON 2012 Final Zambia I Coast 0 0 4 7 12
Euro 2012 QF Czech Portugal 0 1 1 1
Euro 2012 QF Germany Greece 4 2 2 3
Euro 2012 QF Spain France 2 0 4 7
Euro 2012 QF England Italy 0 0 8 15 24
Euro 2012 SF Portiugal Spain 0 0 1 1 3
Euro 2012 SF Germany Italy 1 2 1 1
Euro 2012 Final Spain Italy 4 0 2 3
ACON 2013 QF Ghana Cape V 2 0 4 7
ACON 2013 QF South A Mali 1 1 8 15 24
ACON 2013 QF I Coast Nigeria 1 2 1 1
ACON 2013 QF B Faso Togo 0 0 2 3 6
Totals 51 84
What I will add though is that this table above is based on just straight doubling with the draw price being 2/1 and starts after a winning bet
Was the draw ever 2/1 no so return is slanted low
Did I just double no
I really have little or no idea how much I have won doing this now as I no longer record it on a spreadsheet stopped doing that after Euro 2004 Final it just goes in my diary now as as scribbled note.
so whilst the Bet total is reflective in units the return is lower than achieved and here is why and I will just use one example ACON 12 Final was Zambia vs Ivory Coast it was early in the sequence so I did just double as I was getting used to winning.
The draw was 9/2 and the 0-0 was 12/1 so yes I fell off my chair that night
As last nights match was a draw the bet is back to minimum stake for this weeks first Semi Final
The bets will remain in units though as I have seen a close gambling pal martingaling at a casino ( record run on 1 colour is 27 ) Go figure and the odds are not even anywhere near a draw price!
Hope the table helped LOl
I will keep on smiling
Works for me
I will post each bet before the game (Units) in future and lets just watch it Ok
Dave I think you're missing the point about martingaling, your system seems to show value but to martingale your bets adds no value, just unnecessary risk IMO. I have been following your bets however I simply flat bet £50 each time, if you are correct that 40% of the last 7 matches have been draws then it seems big value, while you have quite a lot of stats to back this up it could be over the next 20 years or so it will all even out? But we shall see, I like to take a chance rather then look back and say "what if?"
I myself hope you keep posting, I can appreciate some of the other comments - your posts can sometimes be confusing and not very well structured but don't let it put you off, some of us appreciate your system and the numbers behind it and its stuff like this that adds variety to the forum
Last edited by blowingbubbles; 06/02/2013 at 14:40.
With the renewed interest in the thread, I thought I'd join in too. I'm doing the same as BB, just a flat stake on the draw and will try and continue in your other recommended comps. One winner one loser today equals profit
As BB said, it's good to have some variety on here and you seem to be showing a consistent profit (although like others, am a bit confused about your staking system, but whatever works for you). Don't take the criticism to heart, I think it's more a case of not understanding how you double-up, raise stakes or whatever it is rather than the games you've highlighted.