Adelaide/Carlton - No Bet - tough one, lean to Adelaide due to Carltons 6 day break, Carlton's defence is finally working conceeding under 100 points 2 weeks in a row, after 24 straight games of over 100, looking at teh stats I believe this is to do with their midfield as last year they conceded on average 57 Inside 50's, this year they are averaging 51 conceeded. We know their defence is poor but if you restrict how many times it goes in there thats going to be a bonus....If I can get a good line/price on a low scoring game Ill have a small nibble...
Brisbane/Melbourne - Lines just win, will use them in multis
Collingwood/Essendon - Collingwood is the bet fading Essendon due to the TD system, Collingwood wenrt that bad last week, took the ball Inside 50 63 times....will be looking for a good win here
Freo/Geelong - Freo 6 day break, Geelong just win, will use them in multis
Hawks/Rich - Hawks 6-2 in their last 8 at the MCG with an average winning margin of 51 pts, beat Richmond by 53 here last year, Hawks have ahad some tough assignments in the past month and should be able to break away from the Tigers in this one...
Roos/Swans - Swans have lost their last 3 at the TD and aint travelling that well, 3rd interstate trip in 4 weeks, favour the Roos here as a PK
Port/Saints - Port at the line, fade the Saints TD system bet
WCE/Bullies - WCE take the points, fade the Bullies TD System bet
Plays will be up later, going to see the Foo Fighters tonight!